Investment Philosophy & Structure
Investment Philosophy
At Ninety Plus we believe that active management paired with a methodical approach to portfolio structure and stock selection play a critical role in the implementation of a successful long-term strategy in the public equity market. Our innovative portfolio structure aims to mitigate market and sector risk while still capturing the benefits of a semi-concentrated portfolio at roughly 35 holdings. Additionally, our offensive stock selection methodology, which is driven by our proprietary 90+ Stock Ratings, and backed by our in-house research, aims to capitalize on the historic out-performance of high-achieving companies emerging from low-risk entry points. Ultimately, we believe the fusion of prudent portfolio composition and powerful stock selection results in a winning formula for achieving our investment objective.
Investment Structure
As stated above, our capital growth portfolio was engineered to neutralize market and sector risk yet still yield the advantages of a semi-concentrated, actively managed portfolio. Our comprehensive asset allocation is structured to be multi-faceted and is split into offensive and defensive tranches. Our offensive tranche is designed to generate outperformance versus our benchmark via pure stock selection and disciplined portfolio management, while our defensive tranche's intent is to mitigate market and sector risk by hedging against the most dominant stocks in our benchmark and diversifying our holding across the 11 sectors of the S&P 500.
Investment Process - Defensive & Offensive
Defensive Investment Process
Offensive Investment Process (Buy Side)
Offensive Investment Process (Sell Side)
Investment Research
90+ Fundamental Rating
90+ Technical Rating
90+ Composite Rating
Three years ago we set out to explore, isolate, and quantify the common characteristics of the greatest performing stocks of all time. In our pursuit, we identified three primary characteristics that the majority of super stocks share, and two secondary characteristics that further enhanced their future growth potential. As a result, our investment approach has predominantly been reverse engineered from our findings and developed in a manner to identify and construct a portfolio of such stocks in present time.
The primary findings of our study show that the majority of the greatest performing stocks of all-time had exceptional fundamental and technical characteristics before their major advance. Furthermore, we find that the combination of healthy fundamentals and strong technicals further amplify future returns. Additionally, the secondary findings of our studies show that a company's standing amongst its sector constituents, in terms of its fundamental and technical health, is also indicative of its future potential. And lastly, there exists an exploitable structural tendency of the market we call "launchpads" that many super-stocks formed before embarking upon their historic advance.
More specifically, our studies show that:
- Stocks with strong and stable earnings and revenues growth significantly outperform stock with weak or erratic earnings and revenues growth
- Stocks with strong prior relative performance significantly outperform stocks with weak relative price performance
- Stocks with a combination of strong and stable earnings and revenues growth and strong relative price performance were among the best performing stocks of all-time
- Stocks that are well positioned amongst their sector constituents significantly outperform weakly positioned stocks in the sector
- Launchpads provide low-risk entry points into super-stocks prior to their advance
Below we present a detailed summary of the primary findings from our multi-year research.
Our 90+ Fundamental Rating evaluates each company’s quarterly, annual, and estimated earnings and revenues for acceleration, growth, and stability - assigning a percentile rating to each company in the investable universe. Our research shows that companies with strong and stable earnings and revenues growth tend to outperform companies with weak or erratic earnings and revenues growth over our 20 year testing period. Furthermore, we see monotonically increasing performance from Q1 - Q5 suggesting that our Fundamental Rating is a efficacious discriminator of future price appreciation. Also, of note, is the relatively lower volatility and drawdown, and higher alpha and sharpe ratio among the top quintile indicating higher returns can be achieved with less overall risk. The figure below illustrates the 20 year back-test of our 90+ Fundamental Rating and further supports our findings and data above.
Our Technical Rating measures the price performance of each company against all other companies over the preceding 3, 6, and 12 months - assigning a percentile rating to each company in the investable universe. Our research shows that companies with proven track records of strong and consistent performance tend to outperform companies with weak or inconsistent track records over our 20 year testing period. Again, we see almost nearly monotonically increasing performance from Q1 - Q5 exhibiting that our Technical Rating is also an efficacious discriminator of future price appreciation. Again, of note, is the relatively lower volatility and drawdown and higher alpha and sharpe ratio among the top quintile indicating higher returns can be achieved with less overall risk. The figure below illustrates the 20 year back-test of our 90+ Technical Rating and further supports our findings and data above.
Lastly, our 90+ Composite Rating combines our Fundamental and Technical Ratings into one comprehensive number - assigning a percentile rating to each company in the investable universe. Our research shows that companies with a combination of healthy fundamentals and strong technicals significantly outperform companies lacking in one of these two critical areas over our 20-year testing period. Again, we continue to see monotonically increasing performance from Q1 - Q5 illuminating our Composite Rating's ability to separate strong from weak future performance. Again, of note, is the relatively lower volatility and drawdown and higher alpha and sharpe ratio among the top quintile indicating higher returns can be achieved with less overall risk. The figure to the right shows the 20 year back-test of our 90+ Composite Rating and further supports our findings and data above.
